Wednesday, July 22, 2020

What You Need to Know About the May Jobs Report - Workology

What You Need to Know About the May Jobs Report What You Need to Know About the May Jobs Report Youve heard the headline figures: the American economy added 138,000 jobs in May and unemployment sank to 4.3%. Now lets go a little deeper to examine some of the other figures from the report and some of its implications for the economy as a whole and for future hiring. What You Need to Know About the May Jobs Report Unemployment Rate Falls to 16-Year Low, But Hiring Slows As always, WSJ has very thorough coverage of the BLS jobs report, going past the headline numbers to look at the nuances of the overall employment situation. They suggest that the reason hiring is slowing isnt just that we might be reaching full employment, but that hiring managers are simply struggling to fill key roles. U.S. Job Growth Stumbles in May At the L.A. Times  Jim Puzzanghera  says that this isnt a good job report. In fact, its a disappointing one even considering that unemployment continues to stay low. Perhaps the most significant thing we can take away from it, he says, is that were sure to see an interest rate hike later this month from the Fed. Jobs Miss Big, Unemployment Rate Falls to 16-Year Low One of the reasons this jobs report is viewed as so disappointing is that its so far off from what economists predicted. Most expected to see job growth of 180,00+ and unemployment of 4.4%. Instead the BLS jobs report downgraded the last two months and reported 138,000 jobs added and unemployment of 4.3%. The unemployment figure isnt far off, though, and thats because unemployment has been consistently low for months no one forecasts a dramatic change and increasingly, economists are predicting lower and slower jobs growth. Can You Believe the Jobs Numbers? For a number of (bad) reasons the jobs report has become a measure of the presidents ability to shepherd the economy. The president isnt, in fact, the leader of the economy or the job creator in chief but we cant neglect the political aspect: the presidents economic policies do have an impact on hiring numbers and hiring numbers do influence those policies. Its just not always a straightforward or close relationship. At the New York Times Patricia Cohen considers the Trump administrations response to the lacklustre but not disastrous numbers this month. How is he talking about the numbers differently now that hes off the campaign trail? And what actually goes into generating the report?

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